NFL Preview - Houston (2-0) at Denver (1-1)
By Lyle Fitzsimmons, Contributing NFL Editor
(Sports Network) - The would-be Florida vacation for the Houston Texans has
ended.
After rolling over lesser-lights Miami and Jacksonville in their initial two
games of 2012, the Texans take a Week 3 jump when they travel to Sports
Authority Field at Mile High for a Sunday afternoon date with Peyton Manning
and the Denver Broncos.
Houston has never won its opening three games in franchise history, but it's
positioned well -- at least statistically -- this time around. The Texans
enter the fray No. 1 in the league in both total defense (196.0 yards per
game) and scoring defense (8.5 points per game).
The Texans forced four turnovers in a season-opening 30-10 defeat of the
Dolphins, then allowed just 117 total yards in a 27-7 victory over the Jaguars
last week.
"These two (games) are behind us, and it's time to start looking forward,"
Houston head coach Gary Kubiak said. "We know we've got a huge test coming
down there, with Peyton leading the way for them and the type of player he
is."
What's known is that Kubiak was John Elway's backup with the Broncos from 1983
to 1991 and later worked as an assistant coach under former Denver head coach
Mike Shanahan.
What's not known is exactly what sort of hurdle the aforementioned Manning
presents for Houston.
Manning ended a one-year injury sabbatical in winning style in the Broncos'
31-19 Week 1 defeat of Pittsburgh, in which he threw two touchdown passes and
racked up a 129.2 passer rating, but followed it up with three first-quarter
interceptions on the way to a 27-21 Week 2 loss Monday night in Atlanta.
But the neck injury that warranted four surgeries and put Manning's career in
question is not an issue, he said.
"Really, three poor decisions, three throws into coverage," Manning said of
his early interceptions. "Each turnover has its own story that no one really
wants to hear. I've just got to take care of the ball better."
He completed 24-of-37 passes for 241 yards, a touchdown and a passer rating of
58.5 against the Falcons, but is 16-2 in his career against Houston -- a
favorite whipping post during Manning's days with the Indianapolis Colts. His
110.6 rating against the Texans is his best against any team he's played more
than four times.
"You've got to respect his greatness," Houston offensive tackle Duane Brown
said. "You see what he's able to do when he's on the field, and keeping him
off the field is the best defense for us."
Possession was the path to success for Houston against Jacksonville. The
Texans held the ball for more than 43 minutes while unleashing a ground game
that yielded 110 yards and a touchdown for Arian Foster, and 74 yards and a
pair of scores from backup running back Ben Tate.
Quarterback Matt Schaub passed for 266 yards against Miami and hit wideout
Andre Johnson eight times for 119 yards. The pair connected just three times
for 21 yards against the Jaguars, however.
Denver has allowed just 142 rushing yards and an average of 2.6 yards per
carry through the first two games.
"There are a lot of different approaches we can take to the game, based on
what we think is our strength or our matchup," Texans offensive coordinator
Rick Dennison said. "(The rout of Jacksonville) was last game, so I've got to
move on."
SERIES HISTORY
Broncos lead 2-1
Last Meeting: Broncos 24, Texans 23 (Dec. 26, 2010 at Denver)
Texans HC Gary Kubiak vs. Broncos: 1-1
Broncos HC John Fox vs. Texans: 0-2 overall, 0-0 with Denver
Kubiak vs. Fox Head-to-Head: Kubiak leads, 1-0
Notes: Texans are 0-2 all-time at Sports Authority Field at Mile High, having
also dropped a 31-13 to the Broncos there in 2004 in addition to their 2010
setback. Kubiak played nine years for Denver as a backup quarterback from
1983-91 and was part of two Super Bowl champion teams, and also served as the
Broncos' offensive coordinator from 1995-2005 before becoming Houston's head
coach. Fox lost to Kubiak's Texans by a 34-21 score in 2007 while then at the
helm of Carolina, and his Panthers also fell to Houston in 2003. Current
Broncos running backs coach Eric Studesville was the interim head coach for
Denver's 2010 victory over Houston.
BY THE NUMBERS
Offensive Team Rankings
Houston: 10th overall (374.0 ypg), 6th rushing (149.5 ypg), 21st passing
(224.5 ypg), 9th scoring (28.5 ppg)
Denver: 20th overall (335.0 ypg), 15th rushing (106.0 ypg), 20th passing
(229.0 ypg), 12th scoring (26.0 ppg)
Defensive Team Rankings
Houston: 1st overall (196.0 ypg), 8th rushing (72.0 ypg), 1st passing (124.0
ypg), 1st scoring (8.5 ppg)
Denver: 8th overall (279.5 ypg), 7th rushing (71.0 ypg), 9th passing (208.5
ypg), 16th scoring (23.0 ppg)
Turnover Margin
Houston: + 5 (5 takeaways, 0 giveaways)
Denver: - 4 (1 takeaways, 5 giveaways)
Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (offense)
Houston: 50.0 percent (12 possessions, 6 TD, 5 FG) -- tied 20th overall
Denver: 71.4 percent (7 possessions, 5 TD, 1 FG) -- tied 4th overall
Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (defense)
Houston: 25.0 percent (4 possessions, 1 TD, 1 FG) -- tied 2nd overall
Denver: 62.5 percent (8 possessions, 5 TD, 3 FG) -- 21st overall
WHEN THE TEXANS HAVE THE BALL
Ably playing the role of road warrior, Schaub has 10 touchdown passes and just
one interception while compiling a 110.6 passer rating in his last six games
away from home. He also needs only a single scoring pass to reach 100 for his
career. In one career start against Denver, Schaub completed 23-of-33 throws
for 310 yards with a touchdown, an interception and a 96.8 passer rating in a
2010 loss. Foster, who ran past Domanick Williams (3,195) for the most rushing
yards in franchise history (3,286) and reached the century mark for the 17th
time last week, had 91 rushing yards and a touchdown in the Texans' 2010 loss
to Denver. Fellow runner Tate added a career-best pair of touchdowns last week
as well. On the outside, wide receiver Johnson has an NFL-best average of 79
receiving yards per game since 2003.
Perennially a thorn in the side of opposing quarterbacks, the Broncos are tied
for second in the AFC with six sacks through two games. Linebacker Von Miller,
a Texas native who was last year's NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year, already
has 14 1/2 sacks in 17 career games. And speaking of career numbers,
cornerback Champ Bailey is third among active players with 50 interceptions,
trailing only Ed Reed (59) and Charles Woodson (55).
WHEN THE BRONCOS HAVE THE BALL
Though it's his first time against them in a new uniform, Manning has a long
history of success against the Texans, winning 16 of 18 career games while
completing 452-of-642 passes (70.4 percent) for 5,122 yards and 42 touchdowns,
his most against any opponent. He's thrown just eight interceptions and posted
a 110.6 passer rating over those games as well. Manning is also one 300-yard
passing game from eclipsing Hall of Famer Dan Marino as the league's all-time
leader in that category, with both players having 63. Another veteran, running
back Willis McGahee, has averaged 80.9 rushing yards per game in 17 career
contests with the Broncos and had the 31st 100-yard game of his career last
week against Atlanta. He's fourth in the league since 2004 with 61 touchdowns
and has gone for 117 and 112 yards in two of his three career games against
Houston. Among Manning's air weapons, wide receiver Demaryius Thomas tied a
career-best with eight catches last week and aims for a third straight game in
2012 with a touchdown reception. Wideout Brandon Stokley has five career
touchdown catches against Houston, while tight end Joel Dreessen spent five
seasons with the Texans from 2007 to 2011 before signing with the Broncos this
offseason.
The Texans' renaissance on defense continues in year two with coordinator Wade
Phillips, whose unit is even with the Broncos and second in the AFC with six
sacks through two games. Toward that end, lineman J.J. Watt has 1 1/2 sacks
through two games thus far, and fellow end Antonio Smith has 30 1/2 for his
career in that category.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Texans have been here before - a chance to position themselves firmly
among the league's elite - but most of the previous trips have ended in
disappointment. It seems different this time, though, as the offense has
developed a more varied approach and the defense appears able to clamp down no
matter the foe. Manning presents a bigger test than the Dolphins and Jags, but
it says here Houston passes.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Texans 20, Broncos 16
09/20 17:08:01 ET

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