NFL Preview - Indianapolis (9-5) at Kansas City (2-12)|
By Lyle Fitzsimmons, Contributing NFL Editor
(Sports Network) - An opportunity missed is an opportunity lost.
Unless, that is, you're the Indianapolis Colts and a much better opportunity
awaits this week.
The just-about-ready-for-prime-time players can punch a ticket to their 10th
playoff tournament in 11 seasons on Sunday when they visit Arrowhead Stadium
for a date with the hapless Kansas City Chiefs.
Given Indy's ghastly 0-13 start and 2-14 finish last season with
quarterbacking provided by Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky, among others, it's
newsworthy enough that a first season since 1997 without Peyton Manning on the
roster has gone so well, playoffs or no.
But that it has, to the tune of nine wins in 14 games, which have the Colts on
the precipice of a berth that can be clinched with a defeat of the Chiefs --
or a loss or tie by the Pittsburgh Steelers against Cincinnati.
Indianapolis could have secured the spot and tightened up the AFC South last
week, but it dropped a shoddy 29-17 decision at first-place Houston that
allowed the Texans to clinch the division title for the second consecutive
season. The Colts host the Texans to wrap up the schedule next week.
Among the comedy of errors for the postseason wannabes, Indy's Mewelde Moore
turned it over inside the 5-yard-line in the second quarter, the Colts had a
scoring reception by Reggie Wayne nullified by a penalty and Houston blocked a
punt and ran it in for a touchdown.
"We (went there) to win, not put up a respectable showing," rookie quarterback
Andrew Luck said. "We'll move on to (Kansas City) and hopefully get better."
It's a more legitimate guess to happen against the Chiefs, who've won just
twice in 14 games, scored just seven points in their last two and gained only
119 total yards last week in a smothering 15-0 loss to the Raiders in Oakland.
To make matters worse, Kansas City is without its most prolific passing
weapon, wide receiver Dwayne Bowe, who's done for the year with a rib problem.
Without Bowe last week, the Chiefs managed seven first downs. Running back
Jamaal Charles finished with 10 yards on nine carries, ending a streak of
three games with 100 or more.
"We continue to struggle to develop any consistency," coach Romeo Crennel
said. "We're not very good on offense. This past game we couldn't run, we
couldn't throw it, and it's hard to be in a game when that happens."
Short of a late-season surge, the Chiefs will finish last in the NFL in
scoring offense for the first time. Kansas City has 195 points through 14
games and trails Jacksonville by 24 points with two games remaining. In fact,
it has failed to reach double digits in four of five games.
Luck hadn't arrived in Indiana when the Chiefs won last season's meeting in
October, but his initial tour through the league has him just 74 yards shy of
Cam Newton's rookie passing record with two games to play.
He's been less impressive as of late, completing less than 50 percent of his
throws in December and seeing nine passes intercepted in the last five games.
Those INTs have been at least partially offset by 10 touchdowns thrown in the
"I think guys understand what's at stake," he said. "There's a little more of
a sense of urgency in terms of what to expect, but it is kind of like the
The former Stanford star was sacked five times against a rush-happy Texans
defense and will be without center Samson Satele this week due to injury. Iffy
this week are right tackle Winston Justice and backup center A.Q. Shipley.
Without Shipley, the ball-snapping duties fall to Mike McGlynn, normally a
The 37 sacks of Luck are fourth-most in the league, but the Chiefs' total for
the year is just 24 -- 30th among 32 teams.
The Colts lead the all-time series, 10-8, and have won seven of the last nine
games. Kansas City won, 28-24, in Indy last season when Matt Cassel threw four
The Chiefs won the last matchup at Arrowhead, 45-35, in 2004 with three rush
TDs from Priest Holmes and three scoring passes from Trent Green. Interim
coach Bruce Arians has not faced Kansas City. Crennel is winless in two games
against the Colts.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
A good way to ease the burden on a slumping rookie passer is to seek more of a
split between the run and pass. Colts rookie runner Vick Ballard went for 105
yards and averaged 5.8 yards per carry against the Texans -- who are fifth in
the league against the run. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 27th with an average
allowance of 136.4 per week. Those numbers add up to a heavy dose of Ballard
and an as-needed sprinkling of Luck.
These Colts are hardly a proven entity, which means a late road game in a
difficult stadium could be a challenge. That said, the Chiefs aren't much of
an entity either, and chances are they'll be happy to get the season's
tumultuous and tragic ride over with. Expect that Luck and Co. will have eyes
on the prize and not allow their big chance to clinch slip to a less likely
scenario next week.
Sports Network predicted outcome: Colts 27, Chiefs 14
12/20 11:21:55 ET