NFL Preview - Cincinnati (0-0) at Baltimore (0-0)
By Scott Garbarini, NFL Editor
(Sports Network) - Even though the Cincinnati Bengals turned in a surprise
postseason appearance last season, the team feels it still has something to
prove.
They'll get a chance to gain some early validation right out of the gates,
making a visit to the harsh environment of M&T Bank Stadium for a primetime
matchup with the defending AFC North Baltimore Ravens that will open up the
NFL's Monday night schedule for the 2012 season.
Cincinnati defied the experts by putting together a 9-7 record -- a five-game
improvement from a forgettable previous season -- and reaching the AFC
Playoffs as a Wild Card entry in 2011, with the heady play of rookie
quarterback Andy Dalton and the game-changing skills of first-year wide
receiver A.J. Green paving the way for the team's unexpected surge.
With those two at the forefront of a strong collection of young talent the
Bengals have assembled the past few years, expectations are quite high in the
Queen City for 2012. But how much Cincinnati progresses during Dalton and
Green's second season may depend how the team handles the tough opponents on
the upcoming schedule.
Counting their 31-10 defeat at Houston in the first round of the playoffs, the
Bengals went just 1-7 against foes that finished .500 or better last year.
That includes a pair of hard-fought setbacks to the Ravens, a 31-24 loss at
M&T Bank Stadium and a 24-16 ousting in Cincinnati in the regular-season
finale.
"For us to play really good teams like that every year, twice a year, and for
this team and this offense and everybody to get to where we want to be, we've
got to find ways to beat those teams," said Dalton.
Cincinnati will also be attempting to buck another negative trend, with the
Bengals last reaching the playoffs in back-to-back years in 1981 and 1982.
The Ravens had an even more bitter ending to an otherwise very successful
campaign, coming up just short in a stinging 23-20 loss to New England in the
AFC Championship Game best remembered for Baltimore kicker Billy Cundiff
misfiring on a 32-yard field goal attempt in the final seconds that would have
forced overtime.
Baltimore experienced another tough break during the offseason, with pass-
rushing terror Terrell Suggs suffering a partial Achilles tendon tear that
will sideline the 2011 Defensive Player of the Year for at least half the
schedule, and the team will enter Monday's opener with some heavy hearts as
well after former team owner Art Modell passed away on Thursday.
The 87-year-old Modell relocated the original Cleveland Browns to Baltimore in
1996 and christened the franchise as the Ravens, and served as the team's
patriarch until selling it to businessman Steve Bisciotti in 2004.
One of the NFL's most active and influential owners during his time with the
Browns and Ravens, Modell was also instrumental in the establishment of the
hugely successful "Monday Night Football" program in 1970.
"I told him that we're playing Monday night and that he was going to be there
watching the game and we're going to fight for him," said Ravens head coach
John Harbaugh about his visit to Modell in the hospital earlier in the week.
"And that we're going to play our best football for Art Modell."
Baltimore is coming off a 12-4 regular season and brings an 11-game winning
streak at M&T Bank Stadium, counting last January's 20-13 triumph over Houston
in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, into Monday's tilt. The Ravens have also
prevailed in eight consecutive non-postseason contests against AFC North
members and are 19-1 in their last 20 overall outings at home.
SERIES HISTORY
Ravens lead 18-14
Streak: Ravens have won last three meetings
2011 Meetings: Ravens 31, Bengals 24 (Nov. 20 at Baltimore)
Ravens 24, Bengals 16 (Jan. 1 at Cincinnati)
Bengals HC Marvin Lewis vs. Ravens: 10-8
Ravens HC John Harbaugh vs. Bengals: 5-3
Lewis vs. Harbaugh Head-to-Head: Harbaugh leads, 5-3
Notes: All four matchups in the series over the past two seasons have been
decided by eight points or less. Cincinnati's most recent victory in the set
was a 15-10 home decision in Week 2 of the 2010 season. Bengals have lost in
two straight and three of their last four trips to Baltimore, with their lone
victory during that stretch a 17-14 decision in 2009. Lewis was the Ravens'
defensive coordinator from 1996 to 2001 and helped Baltimore to a win in Super
Bowl XXXV to conclude the 2000 season.
BY THE NUMBERS
2011 Offensive Team Rankings
Cincinnati: 20th overall (319.9 ypg), 19th rushing (111.1 ypg), 20th passing
(208.8 ypg), 18th scoring (21.5 ppg)
Baltimore: 15th overall (338.7 ypg), 10th rushing (124.8 ypg), 19th passing
(213.9 ypg), tied 12th scoring (23.6 ppg)
2011 Defensive Team Rankings
Cincinnati: 7th overall (316.3 ypg), 10th rushing (104.7 ypg), 9th passing
(211.6 ypg), 9th scoring (20.2 ppg)
Baltimore: 3rd overall (288.9 ypg), 2nd rushing (92.6 ypg), 4th passing
(196.3 ypg), 3rd scoring (16.6 ppg)
2011 Turnover Margin
Cincinnati: E (22 takeaways, 22 giveaways)
Baltimore: +2 (26 takeaways, 24 giveaways)
2011 Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (offense)
Cincinnati: 45.1 percent (51 possessions, 23 TD, 20 FG) -- 26th overall
Baltimore: 51.0 percent (49 possessions, 25 TD, 19 FG) -- 17th overall
2011 Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (defense)
Cincinnati: 58.5 percent (41 possessions, 24 TD, 13 FG) -- 25th overall
Baltimore: 38.1 percent (42 possessions, 16 TD, 15 FG) -- 1st overall
WHEN THE BENGALS HAVE THE BALL
After opting not to re-sign both leading rusher Cedric Benson and No. 2
receiver Jerome Simpson during the offseason, it's clear the Bengals' plan is
to get the ball in the hands of the dynamic Green (65 receptions, 1057 yards,
7 TD in 2011) as much as possible on Monday. That may be a task easier said
than done, though, as the Ravens focused their defensive attention towards
containing the second-year standout when the teams last met in Week 17 (Green
did not play in the first matchup). If that's again the case, Dalton (3398
yards, 20 TD, 13 INT) may have to lean more on secondary targets such as tight
end Jermaine Gresham (56 receptions, 6 TD), slot receiver Andrew Hawkins (23
receptions) and the combo of return specialist Brandon Tate and 2011 practice-
squad member Armon Binns, both of whom are expected to rotate as Simpson's
replacement. The ground game, now headed by New England refugee BenJarvus
Green-Ellis (667 rushing yards, 11 TD), figures to have trouble gaining any
sustained steam against Baltimore's rugged run defense, which places an
greater responsibility on the shoulders of Dalton. Although the young
quarterback performed impressively well overall on the road during his rookie
year, he was intercepted three times in Cincinnati's loss at M&T Bank Stadium
in November and completed less than 52 percent (46-of-89) of his throws over
the two games in last season's series. The Bengals come in with concerns on
the offensive line as well, with starting center Kyle Cook and left guard
Travelle Wharton forced to injured reserve during the preseason. Cincinnati
did bring in seasoned veteran Jeff Faine to take Cook's place, but he's been
with the team for less than two weeks.
Baltimore's greatest challenge on defense will be trying to replicate the
insane production that Suggs gave the unit a year ago, when the ferocious
end/outside linebacker hybrid racked up 14 sacks and a league-best seven
forced fumbles while also being a force in run support. More than likely, new
coordinator Dean Pees will utilize more of a committee approach to generate
pressure, with Suggs stand-in Paul Kruger (15 tackles, 5.5 sacks), situational
end Pernell McPhee (23 tackles, 6 sacks), rookie outside linebacker Courtney
Upshaw (2nd Round, Alabama) and even All-Pro tackle Haloti Ngata (64 tackles,
5 sacks) all counted on to step up in that area. More up-the-gut blitzes by
cornerstone inside linebacker Ray Lewis (95 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) and
passing-down counterpart Brendon Ayanbadejo (35 tackles, 1.5 sacks) may be
part of Pees' formula as well. Expect big-play safety Ed Reed (52 tackles, 1
sack, 3 INT) to be stationed extensively on Green's side to help out
cornerbacks Lardarius Webb (67 tackles, 1 sack, 5 INT) and Cary Williams (78
tackles, 16 PD) and attempt to get Dalton to check down. The Ravens should be
their usual stifling selves against the run, with Ngata, Lewis and physical
strong safety Bernard Pollard (75 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) spearheading a crew
that held opponents to 3.5 yards per carry last year, second-best in the NFL.
WHEN THE RAVENS HAVE THE BALL
Baltimore has predominantly been a pretty conservative outfit on offense under
Harbaugh and coordinator Cam Cameron, but it appears as if this year's team
will be more fast-paced and free-wheeling that what fans are accustomed to.
The Ravens ran a lot of no-huddle plays during the preseason, a concept
Harbaugh believes suits the strengths of strong-armed quarterback Joe Flacco
(3610 passing yards, 20 TD, 12 INT), and there are certainly enough capable
weapons to make the idea work. Second-year wideout Torrey Smith (50
receptions, 7 TD) can stretch the field with the best of them and proved so
with a six-catch, 165-yard, one-touchdown display in last November's home win
over Cincinnati, and more speed was brought in with the free-agent signing of
Jacoby Jones (31 receptions, 2 TD). The ex-Texans will work as the No. 3
receiver behind Smith and hard-nosed veteran Anquan Boldin (57 receptions, 3
TD), who remains Flacco's go-to-guy over the middle and in the clutch. Cameron
still won't be phasing out Ray Rice (1364 rushing yards, 76 receptions, 15
total TD), however, with the star running back continuing his role as an
every-down workhorse as well as an excellent outlet in the passing game. Rice
torched the Bengals in last year's two encounters, amassing a prolific 295
rushing yards and four touchdowns, and should be primed for another
outstanding season operating behind the league's best lead-blocking fullback
in Vonta Leach (15 receptions).
For Cincinnati to have its best chance of emerging victorious, it's an
absolute necessity that the defense prevents Rice from running wild like he
did in last season's games. Tackles Geno Atkins (47 tackles, 7.5 sacks) and
Domata Peko (66 tackles, 2.5 sacks) will have to win their battles in the
trenches, while linebackers Rey Maualuga (88 tackles, 1 INT) and Thomas Howard
(99 tackles, 1 sack) must be disciplined in their assignments and sound in
their tackling. That's not the only potential headache for coordinator Mike
Zimmer, however. He may be without his best edge rusher on Monday with end
Carlos Dunlap (23 tackles, 4.5 sacks) questionable with a knee sprain, while
talented rookie cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick (knee) has already been ruled out,
leaving the secondary with graybeards Nate Clements (55 tackles, 1 sack, 2
INT) and Terence Newman (53 tackles, 4 INT) as two of the top three corners
along with the steady Leon Hall (32 tackles, 2 INT). Count on the Ravens
testing both of them along with new strong safety Taylor Mays (10 tackles), a
capable run stopper who's unproven in coverage. Zimmer will be relying on
Atkins, who tied for the league lead among interior players in sacks in 2011,
and end Michael Johnson (42 tackles, 6 sacks) to bring the heat and help out
the back end.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
Knocking off the Ravens on their home turf is a daunting task in itself, but
trying to do so when Baltimore is the healthier team makes the chore doubly
tough. Suggs' absence shouldn't be as much as an impediment against a
Cincinnati team that lacks any real playmakers other than Green and is still
in the process sorting things out on a depleted offensive line, and the
Bengals' secondary also doesn't look to be in top shape for its matchup
against a good corps of Baltimore receivers. And if Rice extends his streak of
huge games against Cincinnati, this one could get ugly. The Bengals didn't
appear quite ready for primetime last season, and that may be the case as well
to begin 2012.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Ravens 24, Bengals 13
09/07 15:27:32 ET

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