NFL Preview - Pittsburgh (0-0) at Denver (0-0)
By Scott Garbarini, NFL Editor
(Sports Network) - The moment both Peyton Manning and fans of the Denver
Broncos have been waiting for what seems like an eternity is finally about to
arrive.
It's a day the Pittsburgh Steelers have probably circled on the calendar for
quite some time as well.
Manning's official Denver debut -- and first meaningful game action in 20
months -- will undeniably be the central focus when the NFL opens its Sunday
Night Football schedule with a colossal showdown between the Broncos and a
determined Steelers squad that will be invading Sports Authority Field at Mile
High with the opportunity to avenge the loss that ended their 2011 season.
Pittsburgh came into Denver this past January as the defending AFC champions
and heavily favored to dispatch a resourceful but seemingly flawed Broncos
team that got into the playoffs despite a mundane 8-8 record. The home
underdogs gave the Steelers all they could handle and then some, however,
coming through with a stunning 29-23 overtime victory thanks to an unforeseen
aerial display from then-quarterback Tim Tebow.
The accuracy-challenged Tebow piled up 316 yards on a Pittsburgh defense that
yielded the fewest passing yards in the NFL during the regular season, with
the final 80 coming on a thrilling touchdown connection to wide receiver
Demaryius Thomas on the first snap from scrimmage in overtime.
While the play enhanced Tebow's already established legacy as an unlikely
miracle worker, it didn't prevent the Broncos from searching for an upgrade
from a quarterback who completed under 47 percent of his throws during the
team's unexpected run to last year's AFC West title. And they got the best one
available when the four-time league Most Valuable Player Manning chose Denver
among a host of suitors shortly after being released by the Indianapolis Colts
for both medical and financial reasons.
The Colts parted ways with their franchise icon in large part due to the
multiple neck surgeries that caused Manning to sit out the entire 2011
campaign. He's shown no major aftereffects from the procedures and little rust
during the preseason, however, and appears primed and ready to take the field
in a game that counts for the first time since Indianapolis' loss to the New
York Jets in a 2010 AFC Wild Card Playoff.
"I know how hard I've worked to get back to this position, how much time I've
put in to rehabbing, how much time I continue to put in, how hard I've worked
to try to get comfortable in this system," Manning said. "That's really all
that I know that I can do. I'm going to play as hard as I possibly can."
Manning figures to be tested right from the get-go, as Pittsburgh returns the
majority of its core players from a stop unit that also finished atop the NFL
in both total defense and scoring defense.
The Steelers won't have free safety Ryan Clark available, however, as the
valuable veteran will be held out of Sunday's showdown because he carries the
sickle cell trait and is at risk of experiencing serious health complications
in the high-altitude environment of Sports Authority Field.
Clark also missed last January's playoff tilt for the same reasons, and his
absence was a factor in Pittsburgh surrendering a season-high 447 total yards
to the Broncos.
There's a chance the Steelers could be without outside linebacker James
Harrison as well, with the 2008 NFL Defensive Player of the Year just recently
resuming practicing after recovering from a knee scope. While it's believed
the standout pass rusher will suit up for the opener, his playing time may be
limited.
Harrison and his defensive mates will be facing a Denver attack that won't be
resembling anything close to when the teams last met. With Tebow at the helm
of the offense, the Broncos ranked first in the league in rushing yards but
31st in passing, a number that stands to improve dramatically with a healthy
Manning.
"We acknowledge that they're different of course, not only with Peyton but
defensively with Coach (new defensive coordinator Jack) Del Rio, who is very
good at what he does," stated Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin. "We better
remain focused on the challenges that are in front of us this weekend as
opposed to looking back at something that happened months ago."
SERIES HISTORY
Broncos lead 13-7-1
Last Regular-Season Meeting: Steelers 28, Broncos 10 (Nov. 9, 2009 at Denver)
Steelers HC Mike Tomlin vs. Broncos: 1-2
Broncos HC John Fox vs. Steelers: 1-3 overall, 1-0 with Broncos
Tomlin vs. Fox Head-to-Head: tied, 1-1
Notes: Broncos had won three straight in the regular-season set prior to their
2009 loss to Pittsburgh, with the most recent triumph a 31-28 verdict at
Sports Authority Field in 2007. Last season's AFC Wild Card bout marked the
seventh all-time meeting between the clubs in the playoffs, with Denver owning
a 4-3 edge. Tomlin's Steelers bested Fox's Carolina Panthers by a 27-3 count
in Pittsburgh during Week 16 of the 2010 season.
BY THE NUMBERS
2011 Offensive Team Rankings
Pittsburgh: 12th overall (372.3 ypg), 14th rushing (118.9 ypg), 10th passing
(253.4 ypg), tied 21st scoring (20.3 ppg)
Denver: 23rd overall (316.6 ypg), 1st rushing (164.5 ypg), 31st passing (152.1
ypg), 25th scoring (19.3 ppg)
2011 Defensive Team Rankings
Pittsburgh: 1st overall (271.8 ypg), 8th rushing (99.8 ypg), 1st passing
(171.9 ypg), 1st scoring (14.2 ppg)
Denver: 20th overall (357.8 ypg), 22nd rushing (126.3 ypg), 18th passing
(231.5 ypg), 24th scoring (24.4 ppg)
2011 Turnover Margin
Pittsburgh: -13 (15 takeaways, 28 giveaways)
Denver: -12 (18 takeaways, 30 giveaways)
2011 Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (offense)
Pittsburgh: 50.9 percent (53 possessions, 27 TD, 16 FG) -- 18th overall
Denver: 47.2 percent (36 possessions, 17 TD, 12 FG) -- 23rd overall
2011 Red Zone Touchdown Percentage (defense)
Pittsburgh: 54.8 percent (31 possessions, 17 TD, 10 FG) -- 17th overall
Denver: 51.9 percent (52 possessions, 27 TD, 21 FG) -- 15th overall
WHEN THE STEELERS HAVE THE BALL
A balanced Pittsburgh offense was able to compile 400 total yards in the
playoff loss at Denver, and new coordinator Todd Haley likely plans to use a
relatively even mixture of run and pass plays to accent the Steelers'
strengths in this game as well. Running back Isaac Redman (479 rushing yards,
3 TD, 18 receptions in 2011) racked up a career-best 121 yards on the ground
on only 17 attempts in January's matchup, and with 2011 leading rusher Rashard
Mendenhall still on the mend from an ACL tear that also kept him out of the
most recent encounter between these teams, he's slated to be the lead carrier
once again in the opener. Redman's been bothered by a tender ankle, however,
meaning Jonathan Dwyer (123 rushing yards), a 2010 draft pick used sparingly
over his first two years but who put together an impressive spring, could be
in line for a significant role. It will be interesting to see how much wide
receiver Mike Wallace (72 receptions, 1193 yards, 8 TD), Pittsburgh's best
deep threat, will be part of Haley's plan as well after sitting out all of
training camp in a contract dispute. The 2011 Pro Bowl selection didn't make a
big impact in last season's back to the Broncos, catching only three passes
for 26 years, but slot receiver Emmanuel Sanders (22 receptions, 2 TD) stepped
up by making six grabs for a team-best 81 yards that day. Those two along with
2011 breakout star Antonio Brown (69 receptions, 1108 yards, 2 TD) give
quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (4077 passing yards, 21 TD, 14 INT) three
strong options that will test Denver's secondary depth, but a line that
surrendered five sacks in the playoff setback must stand its ground against
the Broncos' formidable pass rush for the offense to be at its most dangerous.
Denver didn't do a particularly good job in containing the run in these teams'
last meeting, but the offseason additions of veteran tackle Justin Bannan (31
tackles with Rams) and promising rookie end Derek Wolfe (2nd Round,
Cincinnati) as well as the return of interior lineman Ty Warren -- out all of
last season with a torn triceps -- may make the Broncos a little tougher up
front. Pressuring Roethlisberger shouldn't be that much of an issue, however,
with reigning NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Von Miller (64 tackles, 11.5
sacks and lightning-quick end Elvis Dumervil (42 tackles, 9.5 sacks) heading
up a group that amassed 41 sacks during the 2011 regular season. Both players
were constant thorns in the Steelers' side in the playoff win, while the
versatile Wolfe posted 9 1/2 sacks as a college senior and could the inside
more of a push when used as a tackle on nickel downs. A secondary that was a
bit long in the tooth last year also got some new blood with the free-agent
pickups of cornerback Tracy Porter (52 tackles, 1 INT with Saints) and safety
Mike Adams (64 tackles, 3 INT with Browns). Porter will start opposite the
still-capable Champ Bailey (39 tackles, 2 INT, 10 PD), the one most
responsible for neutralizing Wallace in the most recent clash.
WHEN THE BRONCOS HAVE THE BALL
The read-option scheme that accented Tebow's strengths as a runner and
minimized his weaknesses as a thrower is a thing of the past, replaced by a
more traditional and wide-open pass-oriented approach that will be directed by
one of the game's all-time on-field masterminds in Manning. The 11-time Pro
Bowler should have plenty of worthwhile receivers to choose from, with the up-
and-coming Thomas (32 receptions, 4 TD) and fellow returnee Eric Decker (44
receptions, 8 TD) occupying the outside flanks and two Manning confidants from
his Indianapolis days -- tight end Jacob Tamme (19 receptions, 1 TD with
Colts) and veteran slot man Brandon Stokley -- working the underneath routes.
Thomas, a first-round choice in 2010, showcased his immense talents by
torching the Steelers for a personal-best 204 yards on only four catches in
January's playoffs. Battle-tested running back Willis McGahee (1199 rushing
yards, 12 receptions, 5 TD) enjoyed a career revival in last year's run-based
system and remains the main man when the Broncos take to the ground, with
former first-round pick Knowshon Moreno (179 rushing yards, 11 receptions, 1
TD) the favorite to handle third-down work after overcoming an ACL tear that
ended his 2011 campaign after only seven games. Expect Denver to spread the
Steelers out on Sunday with the idea of taking full advantage of Manning's
accuracy and smarts.
Though the Steelers were one of the league's toughest teams to throw on last
year, the secondary doesn't come without a few concerns for the opener.
Pittsburgh is breaking in a new starter at one cornerback spot in Keenan Lewis
(37 tackles, 1 INT), elevated from the nickel role after William Gay left for
Arizona in free agency, with lightly-tested second-year man Cortez Allen (15
tackles) now an integral part of the sub packages. Ryan Mundy (37 tackles, 1
INT), one of the culprits in the defense's rough outing against the Broncos
back in January, will be filling in for Clark alongside playmaking strong
safety Troy Polamalu (91 tackles, 1 INT, 2 TD). The reworked backfield would
be aided if Pittsburgh brings its traditionally strong pass rush to the field,
though the outstanding combo of Harrison (59 tackles, 9 sacks) and outside
linebacker LaMarr Woodley (39 tackles, 9 sacks, 1 INT) could encounter
difficulty matching their usual standards in that department if the former's
troublesome knee slows him down some. Longtime coordinator Dick LeBeau loves
to bring the blitz, but may have to done down the aggressiveness a bit with
Manning able to exploiting any mismatches that tactic could create. With the
Steelers always stout in defending the run and Denver lacking a dynamic back
that could cause problems, LeBeau's focus can be on devising ways to prevent
the big plays the Broncos were able to deliver in last season's victory from
reoccurring. Creating more turnovers may be a priority as well after
Pittsburgh ranked last in the NFL with 15 takeaways a year ago.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
Manning's arm may not be what it once was after the surgeries and his
advancing age, but the savvy veteran's mind is still sharp as tack. He'll find
whatever openings are present in a Pittsburgh defense that while still high-
caliber, won't be at full strength this week. With a pass rush that
continually harassed Roethlisberger in the playoff upset locked and loaded as
well, Denver's defense also has a chance to make a difference in what should
be a hard-fought and tightly contested affair. And don't discount the impact
the thin Rocky Mountain air can have on an unaccustomed visiting team, giving
the Broncos another possible advantage that could make Manning's anticipated
introduction a cause for celebration.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Broncos 24, Steelers 19
09/07 11:54:28 ET

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