Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
Today's lesson, children, is about spending too much on the quarterback position. Sure, it's nice to have a shiny new Ferrari or Porsche in the driveway, but do you really get to the 7-11 any quicker?
Remember back on Draft Day when you just couldn't "live" without Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Matt Schaub? You spent that high draft choice, ranging from the second to fifth round, to get one of the top-five signal-callers.
Well, unless that guy was Peyton Manning, you probably spent too much. The Colts quarterback is posting another magnificent season and has 134 fantasy points in his first six games of 2010 (22.3 ppg).
If you drafted one of the "other top-five guys," let's compare what you got and what you could have gotten for a much cheaper price.
Rodgers was coming off an excellent season (4,434 yards, 30 TD passes, five TD runs) and you just had to have him on your roster. So you were the first to select a quarterback in the middle of the second round (RapidDraft ADP 17.9). Sure, he has 2,011 yards passing and accounted for 15 scores, but you could have gotten the same number of fantasy points from Kyle Orton (ADP 829). Despite the fact that I was touting the Broncos passing offense in preseason, Orton didn't get drafted in most leagues because owners were afraid of Tim Tebow eventually getting the starting job.
Fortunately for those that quickly saw Orton's potential in the season opener against Jacksonville, he was picked up and has been started ever since. Except for a slight bobble against the Jets and Oakland, Orton has produced statistics every bit as good as Rodgers. Your second-round Rodgers pick has netted you 128 fantasy points; your free agent pickup of Orton 133.
Brees (ADP 23.8) was the second quarterback off the board, going at the end of the second round. The Saints quarterback has been pretty good with 2,334 yards and 16 touchdowns, but he's also thrown 11 interceptions. He's averaging 16.5 ppg. Did you know that Carson Palmer (ADP 102) is averaging 15 ppg? With the help of two veteran receivers in Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens and two youngsters, Jermaine Gresham and Jordan Shipley, Palmer is producing almost as well as Brees. And think of the nice receiver or running back you could have drafted in the second round if you had held off choosing your quarterback until later in the draft.
Or perhaps you selected Brady at the end of the fourth round, thinking that he would produce another season like the one back in 2007 (4,807 yards, 50 TD passes). That's a nice dream, but back in the real world of 2010, Brady is averaging 228 ypg and 1.71 touchdown passes per game (12.8 fantasy ppg). You could have selected Matt Ryan in the ninth round and gotten the same number of points. Ryan is averaging 13.1 ppg.
Schaub led the NFL in passing yards last season (4,770 yards), so you selected him at the start of the fifth round on Draft Day (ADP 53.8). But he's been a disappointment, what with injuries to Andre Johnson and Jacoby Jones, the slow return of talented tight end Owen Daniels and the emergence of a running game behind Arian Foster. Schaub has gotten you only 70 fantasy points heading into the Monday night game with Indianapolis - that's 11.66 ppg. You know how this story is going - you could have picked Miami quarterback Chad Henne in the 14th round and he's averaging 11.28 ppg.
The moral of the story: don't be so quick to select a quarterback. For every superstar, there is an unknown who will match his production.