Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
Tampa Bay second-year running back Doug Martin was a top-five selection on draft day in most fantasy leagues, but through the first five weeks he's done little to reward his owners.
Because of his slow start there may be more than a few owners thinking about or fielding offers for the Buccaneers' workhorse running back.
If this is you, then my unsolicited advice is to hold on to Martin. Now is not the best time to trade him.
Here are six reasons not to pull the trigger on a trade for Martin at this time.
1) Ask any investment advisor and he'll tell you that "sell low, buy high" is a really bad strategy. Anyone that you are currently talking to is likely making offers based on what he's done, or not done, over his first four games. You won't get top-five overall value if you sell him today.
Through four games (Tampa Bay had a bye last week) Martin has rushed at just a 3.4 ypc average and has scored one time. He's currently earned 46.3 fantasy points which has him ranked 20th among backs and 110th overall.
2) Although he has yet to be a productive running back, Martin leads the NFL in rushing attempts per game (25.0) - two more than Adrian Peterson and five more carries per game than LeSean McCoy, Arian Foster or Marshawn Lynch. He's carried the ball 20 times or more in every game this season.
Martin has gotten plenty of opportunities and given the Bucs' other options are journeyman Brian Leonard (never rushed for more than 300 yards in a season) and rookie Mike James (one carry in four games) he should continue to see the bulk of the workload.
3) With the Bucs' handing the starting quarterback job to untested rookie Mike Glennon the team won't want to put too much pressure on the youngster and will therefore continue to try to run the ball. Their current run/pass ratio is a fairly balanced 43 percent run to 57 percent pass.
4) Martin caught 49 balls last season for 472 yards. The team has yet to tap his receiving ability this season (7-35). Expect him to be a favorite safety valve for his new rookie quarterback.
5) We know Martin has the ability to explode. He rushed for 1,454 yards and 11 touchdowns last season which included four 100-yard games and a stunning 251- yard effort.
6) He can only get better. Unless Glennon surprises the world and becomes the "next" Peyton Manning, Martin is going to run the ball at least 240 more carries this year.
He averaged 4.6 ypc last season, so even assuming he runs at just 4.0 ypc that's 960 yards. Add 400 yards in receptions and a few touchdowns and Martin's value will surely increase over the next weeks. If you still want to trade him at least wait until after he has a big game to maximize his trade value.