Philadelphia, PA (SportsNetwork.com) -
This is a warning to all fantasy owners who didn't own Buffalo Bills running back C.J. Spiller last season: STAY AWAY!
As long as the immortal Fred Jackson still lives, he's going to siphon fantasy points away from Spiller by the half dozen.
In standard leagues last season, Jackson had 175 fantasy points while Spiller had 109.
What's worse is that Spiller had back-to-back weeks of double-digit fantasy points zero times. He followed up 11 points in Week 2 with zero in Week 3, 12 in Week 5 with six in Week 6, 14 in Week 9 with three in Week 10 and 20 in Week 13 with four in Week 14.
Any time he looked like he was going to start producing as expected, he pulled the rug out from under everyone who owned him. Again and again. My keister still hurts from falling on it so many times.
And Jackson was there throughout it all, punching in short touchdown after short touchdown and gobbling up all-purpose yardage.
Blame Spiller's nagging ankle sprain if you want, but Jackson perfected his vulturing long before Spiller suffered the injury in Week 4. He had double- digit fantasy points in each of the first three weeks.
Plus, Spiller is completely healthy now and Jackson still has been nudging him off the field on third downs and in the red zone this preseason.
The Bills acquired Bryce Brown from the Philadelphia Eagles this offseason so Jackson may not see 206 carries again, but he should hit 200 total touches and has a good shot to score 8-10 touchdowns again.
Jackson is going in the eighth round of fantasyfootballcalculator.com 12-team mock drafts, 88th overall and 36th among running backs, while Spiller's average draft position (ADP) is 35.5, 17th among RBs and ahead of players guaranteed to see a heavier workload like Rashad Jennings and Toby Gerhart.
If you had Spiller last year and are going back for more, you're a masochist. If you're new to the Spiller game and you're taking him in the third round, you're simply misinformed.
As long as Jackson is still ticking, he'll be allowed to set the pace and Spiller will be used to change it up from time to time.
While that pace will be slow and steady, it will also lead to more fantasy points than expected.