Jeff Green and the art of inconsistency
By Jesse Pantuosco, Fantasy Sports Writer
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network.com) - You know when people tell you to expect the unexpected? I think I know who they're talking about.
Dr. Jekyll, Mr. Hyde, meet Jeff Green.
Statistically speaking, Green might be the most preposterous player in fantasy basketball. The Boston forward seems to alternate between stud and dud on a near nightly basis.
Take Sunday and Monday for example. Green looked like vintage LeBron Sunday against the Pelicans, slicing and dicing his way to a team-high 39 points. Less than 24 hours later, Green looked gassed, scuffling his way to five points on 2-of-12 shooting in a loss to Dallas. He had six turnovers in that contest, five more than he had on Sunday.
Scoring machine one night, bricklayer the next. How does he do it? Green has become predictably unpredictable.
There really is no method to his madness. And that's awfully frustrating if you're a fantasy owner.
The blowup potential with Green is certainly there. Already this season, he's delivered three games of 35+ points. That's as many as LaMarcus Aldridge, who is currently seventh in the league in scoring (23.4 ppg). Just in the last month, Green has gone for at least 27 points four times.
That's the good news. The not-so-good news is that during that same stretch, Green has brought fantasy owners to tears with disastrous outings against the Warriors (four points on 2-of-7 shooting), Suns (nine points, 2-for-14) and Mavericks (we covered that one already).
That's three single-digit point totals in a two-week span. That's how many LeBron has in his last ten seasons.
Green is the Charlie Kelly of fantasy basketball, the ultimate wild card. His intensity comes and goes seemingly at random. How else could you explain his bizarre free throw numbers?
Free throws are a good measure of how often a player is getting to the hoop. Four times this month, Green has taken at least six free throws. But because this is Green we're talking about, he's also had three games where he didn't get to the line at all.
Green isn't the first player to score erratically and he won't be the last. But when scoring is your only real asset, this up and down act can really test an owner's patience. Passing has never been a big part of Green's game (1.6 apg for his career) and at 6-foot-9, he's a pathetic rebounder for his size (4.8 rpg in 68 appearances this season). This underwhelming skill set is the main reason Green has logged just two double-doubles this season.
In Boston, Green has the luxury of sharing a court with one of the game's most talented and unselfish players. Rajon Rondo is the rare superstar who would rather set up his teammates than look for his own shot.
What's frustrating is that Green hasn't been able to take advantage. His scoring average is only marginally better with Rondo on the court this season (17.4 ppg with Rondo, 16.9 without him).
Truth be told, scoring is all Green has. And some nights, edit: a lot of nights, he doesn't even have that.
As it stands now, Green is in a three-way tie with Zach Randolph and Bradley Beal for 34th in the league in scoring (17.0 ppg). As I mentioned earlier, Green's penchant for running hog-wild is well-documented. His 12 games of at least 25 points are as many as Beal and Z-Bo combined (six each).
Unfortunately, his frequent disappearances are hard to ignore. This season, Green has scored fewer than ten points 12 times. Compare that to Randolph who has done it three times and Beal who's been held in the single-digits on seven different occasions. While Beal and Randolph like to keep things even keel, Green carries a self-destruct button with him at all times.
The conspiracy goes even deeper than you could imagine. As it turns out, Green has done almost all of his damage against below average teams. In 34 games against teams with records below .500, he's averaged 18.5 ppg. Versus teams with a record of .500 or better, he's averaged just 15.6 ppg.
Basically, Green has been beating up on the little guys. A quick look at the Celtics' schedule shows seven games in a row against teams with winning records before six straight against sub-.500 opponents.
What will Green do Wednesday against Miami? Your guess is as good as mine.
03/18 17:24:47 ET