2014 Triple Crown:
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American Turf - Horses to Watch

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RULES OF PLAY: In our opinion, each horse listed below (and in our newsletter) has a reasonable chance to win or run well for second. If there are two recommended horses running in the same race, play both to win and place and in the exacta and/or quinella. We suggest giving precedence to a selection in a more recent report or, if you like, play the horse with the higher odds.

NOTE: Our recommendations have a life of one month, so you may want to print this page to keep for your handicapping. If, however, you find there are too many horses to watch simply discard the oldest issue in the one-month cycle. Horses switching tracks remain plays, and sometimes become our best plays as shrewd trainers place fit horses in excellent spots on other circuits, so keep an eye out in these instances. Good luck and always bear in mind: Play with your head, not over it.

Friday, August 15

SARATOGA


ZIGGY MOONDUST: Moved to the dirt last out for his second career start, came out running for the lead and set the pace over a muddy/sealed track but tired in the lane to finish third at 7-2; look for this one right back over a fast strip.

SENSO: Ran well in her debut at Santa Anita back in June, was claimed out of that race and shipped here for her last two starts, an even try versus maiden special weight state breds and then another up the track finish over a muddy track when in with claimers, give her one more try over a fast strip.

ZEE BROS: Was coming off a March layoff when last seen racing in Dubai, came out running for the lead, set a sharp pace into the lane but couldn't hold off the favorite checking in second; should be all set now for his next start.

WILD FINISH: Four year old gelding was away in fourth early on behind sharp splits, made a good move to get into second at the top of the lane but faded late to finish fourth, was claimed by sharp barn, follow right back.

BATTLE AXE: Took plenty of money for her debut going off as the slight favorite at 2-1; got away in third after breaking from the rail, chased the two leaders to the top of the lane but couldn't get by checking in third at 2-1; respect.

WEALTH TO ME: Shipped in here from Delaware when he was last seen winning in a sharp effort, had some trouble while in behind horses and then had to alter course into the lane just missing late by a nose with an apprentice aboard, was claimed and should be very tough right back.

MAGNIFICENT MOON: Was away in fifth early on last out when going 1 and 1/8th miles but couldn't go with the leaders checking in fifth, was claimed by the sharp Michelle Nevin barn and should improve next out especially with a turnback in distance.

STARSHIP PLEASANT: Has been unlucky a few times checking in second in 3 out of her last 5 tries, made the lead going 5 and ? furlongs last out and tired late to finish a close-up fourth, one more try for the Servis barn.

SOUTHERN GEM: Todd Pletcher trainee was sent off at 8-1 for her debut breaking from post 10, was erratic from the gate and then raced wide thereafter made a move to get into contention but checked in fifth late, all set now.

ONUS: Was sent off at 15-1 last out for her debut, was outrun early on behind sharp splits, made an inside run to get into contention but couldn't sustain that bid and checked in fourth late, should move way up off that debut run next out.

BEST BET: TIZALLHEART: Is better over the turf but stayed in her last race, a race that was moved to the muddy main track, was up close early on but didn't have any horse when it counted tiring to finish last of six, tab back on the turf at a square price.

LONGSHOT: PIERCE?S PRIZE: Came out running for the lead last out in his debut, set a pressured pace from the start and into the lane and held on well to finish third at 31-1; will still offer some value right back.

MONMOUTH

DUBAI TIME: Got a trainer change last out, made an early move to the lead through a decent half mile but just couldn?t hold on late checking in a close-up third, will be very tough with similar right back.

FORT BOONESBOROUGH: Came out running for the lead last out over the turf, battled head to head from the start and into the lane before tiring to finish sixth at 10-1; must respect this runner with a return to the dirt.

KING RACER: Moved back to the turf last out, got away in fourth, made a sharp move to take over the lead through a very sharp half mile but couldn?t hold on late checking in third at 27-1; tab.

STIFFED: Jersey bred was riding a two race winning streak heading into her last race against Jersey bred allowance foes, was outrun early on behind some very sharp splits but could only manage fourth in a sharp time of 1:09:4; tab on the stretchout.

WARRIOR'S INSTINCT: By the hot two year old sire Warrior's Reward, started his career going a two turn mile, was outrun early on behind moderate splits and passed a few to finish fourth, should improve off that effort.

BEST BET: PRYCE'S POSSE: Was coming off a claim last out when in against $16k claimers, came out running for the lead and set a pressured pace through fractions of 22:1, 45, 57:1 and finished up well just missing by a half-length in 1:09:3; will prove very tough right back.

LONGSHOT: QUIET MIRACLE: Turned back in distance last out, got away in fourth behind sharp splits and closed some ground to finish third at 12-1 behind the two speed horses, fits at this NW2L $16k claiming level, stay close.


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