NFL Gaming Preview
By Andrew Orzechowski, Contributing Editor
2014 Regular Season Record: 14-8-1; 64%

Sunday, October 26, 2014

GREEN BAY (5-2) AT NEW ORLEANS (2-4), 8:30 PM (ET)
JUST THE FACTS


  • Stadium - Mercedes-Benz Superdome
  • Capacity - (73,000)
  • Surface - UBU Speed Series-S5-M
  • Series Record - Green Bay (16-7)
  • Series Streak - Green Bay has won the last two metings.
  • Last Meeting - September 30, 2012 (Green Bay, 28-27 at Green Bay)
  • Television - NBC

    TRENDS, HISTORY AND HINTS

  • GBP - 2-4 ATS L6 vs. NOS
  • GBP - 2-9 ATS L11 as a dog
  • GBP - 9-3 ATS L12 in weeks 5 through 9
  • GBP - 6-1 to the OVER L7 road games
  • GBP - 18-9 to the OVER L27 vs. NFC South
  • NOS - 8-1-1 ATS L10 home games
  • NOS - 1-4 ATS L5 as a favorite
  • NOS - 4-0 ATS L4 vs. NFC North
  • NOS - 4-1 to the OVER L5 home games vs. GBP
  • NOS - 6-2 to the OVER L8 in Oct.

    WHO'S HURTIN'
    Green Bay - CB Sam Shields (knee) is questionable.

    New Orleans - CB Keenan Lewis (knee/shoulder) is questionable. TE Jimmy Graham (shoulder) is probable.

    GAME ANALYSIS

    The New Orleans Saints host the Green Bay Packers this week on Sunday Night Football at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

    Last week, the Packers defeated the Carolina Panthers, 38-17, covering the number as 7-point favorites. Green Bay has won four straight and is 4-0 against the spread in those contests after going 0-3 ATS in its first three games.

    Meanwhile, the Saints have been a bit of a disappointment this year both straight up and against the spread. Last week, they lost a close game against the Detroit Lions, 24-23.

    Some additional trends worth pointing out:

  • Packers are 6-1 to the OVER this season
  • Saints are 5-1 to the OVER.

    The over/under (56 points) in this contest could be a bit high. The Packers are averaging 28.4 points per game while the Saints have scored 25.8 ppg. When those two numbers are combined, they come to 54.2 ppg, which is slightly under the 56-point over/under.

    Meanwhile, Green Bay has allowed 21 ppg while New Orleans has allowed 27.5 ppg for a combined average of 48.5 points per game.

    Based on the above information, the right decision is to take the UNDER even though the initial instinct might be to take the OVER in this game.

    SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take UNDER 56 points.

  • SPORTS REPORTER - Weekly Selections
  • ROOT: False Football Favorites are Everywhere!