By Andrew Orzechowski, Contributing Editor
2014 Regular Season Record: 14-8-1; 64%
Sunday, October 26, 2014
GREEN BAY (5-2) AT NEW ORLEANS (2-4), 8:30 PM (ET)
JUST THE FACTS
Stadium - Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Capacity - (73,000)
Surface - UBU Speed Series-S5-M
Series Record - Green Bay (16-7)
Series Streak - Green Bay has won the last two metings.
Last Meeting - September 30, 2012 (Green Bay, 28-27 at Green Bay)
Television - NBC
TRENDS, HISTORY AND HINTS
GBP - 2-4 ATS L6 vs. NOS
GBP - 2-9 ATS L11 as a dog
GBP - 9-3 ATS L12 in weeks 5 through 9
GBP - 6-1 to the OVER L7 road games
GBP - 18-9 to the OVER L27 vs. NFC South
NOS - 8-1-1 ATS L10 home games
NOS - 1-4 ATS L5 as a favorite
NOS - 4-0 ATS L4 vs. NFC North
NOS - 4-1 to the OVER L5 home games vs. GBP
NOS - 6-2 to the OVER L8 in Oct.
Green Bay - CB Sam Shields (knee) is questionable.
New Orleans - CB Keenan Lewis (knee/shoulder) is questionable. TE Jimmy Graham
(shoulder) is probable.
The New Orleans Saints host the Green Bay Packers this week on Sunday Night
Football at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Last week, the Packers defeated the Carolina Panthers, 38-17, covering the
number as 7-point favorites. Green Bay has won four straight and is 4-0 against
the spread in those contests after going 0-3 ATS in its first three games.
Meanwhile, the Saints have been a bit of a disappointment this year both
straight up and against the spread. Last week, they lost a close game against
the Detroit Lions, 24-23.
Some additional trends worth pointing out:
Packers are 6-1 to the OVER this season
Saints are 5-1 to the OVER.
The over/under (56 points)
in this contest could be a bit high. The Packers are averaging 28.4 points per
game while the Saints have scored 25.8 ppg. When those two numbers are
combined, they come to 54.2 ppg, which is slightly under the 56-point
Meanwhile, Green Bay has allowed 21 ppg while New Orleans has allowed 27.5 ppg
for a combined average of 48.5 points per game.
Based on the above information, the right decision is to take the UNDER even
though the initial instinct might be to take the OVER in this game.
SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take UNDER 56 points.