Major League Baseball Selection

By Jeff Frank, Sports Analyst
Final 2014 MLB Regular Season Record: 48-48-1; -340 units
2014 MLB Playoffs record: 4-4; -95 units


Saturday, October 25, 2014

KANSAS CITY (89-73) AT SAN FRANCISCO (88-74), 8:07 PM (ET)
TV: FOX
Jason Vargas (LHP) vs. Ryan Vogelsong (RHP)


Game three was by far the best game of the series. The Royals prevailed, 3-2, as Jeremy Guthrie and the Kansas City bullpen limited San Francisco to just four hits. In order for the Royals to take a commanding 3-1 lead, they need Jason Vargas to come up huge in game four, particularly since Madison Bumgarner returns for the Giants in game five.

Vargas has improved in each of his last three starts. The southpaw allowed four runs in four innings in a 6-4 loss to Cleveland on Sept. 24. Eight days later, he gave up two runs on three hits over six innings in a 3-2 victory over the Angels. Finally, Vargas got the win over Baltimore on Oct. 15 by throwing 5 1/3 innings of two-hit, one run ball.

On the other side, Ryan Vogelsong has not won a game since August 29. That's a span of seven outings. He's been inconsistent in the postseason with a solid performance against Washington (5 2/3 innings, two hits and one run) and a flawed performance versus St. Louis with four runs and seven hits allowed in just three innings.

This one has the look of a much higher scoring game than last night, especially since both team's bullpens threw a lot of pitches on Friday night.

SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take over seven runs at even money.

PITCHING TRENDS REPORT

Jason Vargas (11-10, 3.71)
Lifetime record vs. opponent: 0-1, 3.15
2014 record vs. opponent: 0-0, 3.60
2014 Profit/Loss: -484

Ryan Vogelsong (8-13, 4.00)
Lifetime record vs. opponent: 3-4, 18.00
2014 record vs. opponent: 0-0, 0.00
2014 Profit/Loss: -37


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