By Jeff Frank, Sports Analyst
Final 2014 Regular Season Record: 37-34-2; Percentage: 52%
Bowl record: 2-14; Percentage: 13%
Monday, January 12, 2015
CFP CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
OREGON (13-1) VS. OHIO STATE (13-1), 8:30 PM (ET)
JUST THE FACTS
Stadium - AT&T Stadium
Capacity - (80,000)
Surface - Sportfield Turf
Series Record - Ohio State (8-0)
Series Streak - Ohio State has won all eight meetings
Last Meeting - January 1, 2010 (Ohio State, 26-17 in Pasadena)
Television - ESPN
TRENDS, HISTORY AND HINTS
Oregon - 9-0 ATS L9
Oregon - 6-4 ATS L10 at neutral site
Oregon - 9-0 ATS L9 as favorites
Oregon - 3-1 to the under L4
Ohio State - 8-4 ATS L12
Ohio State - 6-3 ATS L9 at neutral site
Ohio State - 13-2 ATS L15 as underdogs
Ohio State - 12-1 to the over L13
Oregon - WR Devon Allen (knee) and Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (knee) are out. RB Kani
Benoit (disciplinary) and LB Torrodney Prevot (disciplinary) are questionable.
Ohio State - No significant injuries.
Ohio State is averaging 43 points per game in its last five contests with the
Buckeyes scoring over 42 points just once. Oregon has topped the 100-point
mark in its last two games combined, while reaching the 40-point mark in nine
straight contests. Still, the Ducks have been known to score far fewer points
in bowl games than they have during the regular season.
The Ducks averaged 36, 47, 46, 50, 46 and 47 points per game, respectively,
since Chip Kelly was named head coach in 2009. Their bowl totals since 2009
have been 17, 19, 45, 35, 30 and 59, respectively. The one outlier from the
second set is the 59 points in this year's game versus Florida State, a game
Oregon scored just 18 first-half points, with five of the six second-half
touchdowns coming off turnovers.
Speaking of miscues, Oregon is No. 1 in FBS play with just 10 turnovers, two
less than the next closest set of teams. Don't forget, over one quarter of the
77 points scored in the Ohio State-Alabama game were off turnovers while
almost half of the 79 total points in the Oregon-Florida State contest came
Offense is not the only area where these two teams excel. Ohio State is 26th
nationally in scoring defense while Oregon is 27th. Ohio State's defense
allowed just 21 points (not counting points off turnovers) to Alabama and held
Wisconsin scoreless in the previous game.
Oregon has held its opponents to 20 points or less in four consecutive
contests and six of the last eight. Oregon's offensive postseason woes have
been well documented but the defense usually comes to play. Over the last
three years, the Ducks have allowed fewer points in the bowl game than their
defensive point per game average during the regular season.
This championship game certainly won't be a defensive struggle but it also
won't be an offensive shootout. Look for both teams to score in the 30s
meaning the final tally will be somewhere in the 60s to low 70s.
SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take under 75 points.