CFB Gaming Previews

By Jeff Frank, Sports Analyst
Final 2014 Regular Season Record: 37-34-2; Percentage: 52%
Bowl record: 2-14; Percentage: 13%


Monday, January 12, 2015

CFP CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
OREGON (13-1) VS. OHIO STATE (13-1), 8:30 PM (ET)

JUST THE FACTS


  • Stadium - AT&T Stadium
  • Capacity - (80,000)
  • Surface - Sportfield Turf
  • Series Record - Ohio State (8-0)
  • Series Streak - Ohio State has won all eight meetings
  • Last Meeting - January 1, 2010 (Ohio State, 26-17 in Pasadena)
  • Television - ESPN

    TRENDS, HISTORY AND HINTS

  • Oregon - 9-0 ATS L9
  • Oregon - 6-4 ATS L10 at neutral site
  • Oregon - 9-0 ATS L9 as favorites
  • Oregon - 3-1 to the under L4
  • Ohio State - 8-4 ATS L12
  • Ohio State - 6-3 ATS L9 at neutral site
  • Ohio State - 13-2 ATS L15 as underdogs
  • Ohio State - 12-1 to the over L13

    WHO'S HURTIN

    Oregon - WR Devon Allen (knee) and Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (knee) are out. RB Kani Benoit (disciplinary) and LB Torrodney Prevot (disciplinary) are questionable.

    Ohio State - No significant injuries.

    GAME ANALYSIS

    Ohio State is averaging 43 points per game in its last five contests with the Buckeyes scoring over 42 points just once. Oregon has topped the 100-point mark in its last two games combined, while reaching the 40-point mark in nine straight contests. Still, the Ducks have been known to score far fewer points in bowl games than they have during the regular season.

    The Ducks averaged 36, 47, 46, 50, 46 and 47 points per game, respectively, since Chip Kelly was named head coach in 2009. Their bowl totals since 2009 have been 17, 19, 45, 35, 30 and 59, respectively. The one outlier from the second set is the 59 points in this year's game versus Florida State, a game Oregon scored just 18 first-half points, with five of the six second-half touchdowns coming off turnovers.

    Speaking of miscues, Oregon is No. 1 in FBS play with just 10 turnovers, two less than the next closest set of teams. Don't forget, over one quarter of the 77 points scored in the Ohio State-Alabama game were off turnovers while almost half of the 79 total points in the Oregon-Florida State contest came off turnovers.

    Offense is not the only area where these two teams excel. Ohio State is 26th nationally in scoring defense while Oregon is 27th. Ohio State's defense allowed just 21 points (not counting points off turnovers) to Alabama and held Wisconsin scoreless in the previous game.

    Oregon has held its opponents to 20 points or less in four consecutive contests and six of the last eight. Oregon's offensive postseason woes have been well documented but the defense usually comes to play. Over the last three years, the Ducks have allowed fewer points in the bowl game than their defensive point per game average during the regular season.

    This championship game certainly won't be a defensive struggle but it also won't be an offensive shootout. Look for both teams to score in the 30s meaning the final tally will be somewhere in the 60s to low 70s.

    SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take under 75 points.


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