College Basketball Daily Selection

By Jeff Frank, Sports Analyst
2013-14 final regular season record: 34-27-1, Percentage: 56%
2013-14 tournament record: 4-5-1. Percentage: 45%


Monday, April 7, 2014

KENTUCKY (29-10) VS. CONNECTICUT (31-8), 9:10 PM (ET)


This year's final four included three teams that were 12-6 in their own conference: the SEC, AAC, and Big Ten. The other club was a perfect 18-0 but that squad, Florida, was beaten by Connecticut, the 12-6 club in the AAC. Kentucky was 12-6 in the SEC and lost three times to Florida. However, the Wildcats already took on a team in Wisconsin that defeated Florida and they got past the Badgers, 74-73, on Saturday night.

For all the negative talk about the placement of teams in the AAC by the selection committee, one club has reached the Championship Game while another did the same in the NIT Tournament. Connecticut has reeled off five wins (and five covers) in the NCAA Tourney despite being favored in just one of them.

The big difference between this game and the one against Florida is that the Huskies were familiar with the Gators since they played and beat them earlier in the season. The last time they played Kentucky was in the Final Four three years ago and they got the best of the Wildcats, 56-55. However, the two teams are very different in 2014, especially Kentucky, so all Connecticut can go on is film.

Kentucky has reached this point with miraculous finishes which include the last four games decided by a combined 11 points. One of the victories came over Louisville a team the 'Cats beat twice while Connecticut lost to the Cardinals three times. That's very similar to how Kentucky went 0-3 versus Florida but the Huskies beat the Gators twice.

Connecticut is the more experienced team while Kentucky has the size edge. Expect a very tight game, one that will probably come down to the final minute. If the Wildcats score somewhere in the upper 60s to low 70s and the winner takes the game by two or three points, then the game should go over the total so that is where the play lands.

SPORTS NETWORK CHOICE: Take over 134 points.

THE TRENDS REPORT

Kentucky is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games
Connecticut is 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last five games
Connecticut is 2-0 both SU and ATS the last two meetings



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