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2008 RB Bargain or Bust

Matt Forte didn't disappoint his owners this year.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - In the second in a series of articles we look at running backs and check their 2008 on-field performance with expected value which in this case is measured by Average Draft Position (ADP).

BARGAIN

DeAngelo Williams, Michael Turner, Matt Forte, Steve Slaton, Chris Johnson, Pierre Thomas, Jerious Norwood, Darren Sproles, Le'Ron McClain

Williams was drafted 21 picks behind his Carolina Panthers running mate, rookie Jonathon Stewart (91-70), but stepped up his game to become the TSN 2008-09 Fantasy Player of the Year. Three rookies made the "bargain list" (Forte, Slaton, Johnson) which shows you can't be afraid to take a chance. Keep that in mind for next year and choose a rookie RB somewhere in your draft. There will be plenty of good ones like Knowshon Moreno (Georgia), Chris Wells (Ohio State), Shone Greene (Iowa), Donald Brown (Connecticut), Percy Harvin (Florida) and many more.

FAIR MARKET VALUE

Adrian Peterson, Thomas Jones, Maurice Jones-Drew, Clinton Portis, Brandon Jacobs, Ronnie Brown, Kevin Smith, LenDale White.

Just as the category says, if you picked one of the guys, you got a solid return on your investment. Portis was the best running back for the first half of the season, but faded in the second half and did virtually nothing at fantasy playoff time.

OVERPAID

LaDainian Tomlinson, Brian Westbrook, Steven Jackson, Marion Barber, Marshawn Lynch, Willie Parker, Earnest Graham, Edgerrin James

Some pretty "big" names in this category and with the usual first-round "run" on running backs a lot was expected from these guys. Most of them made the list because injury slowed them. Unfortunately, injuries and running backs will always go together so this is just a part of the game and there is very little you can do about it except try to pick guys who at least start the season healthy.

BUST

Frank Gore, Ryan Grant, Joseph Addai, Jamal Lewis, Willis McGahee, Larry Johnson, Darren McFadden, Selvin Young

Addai was both injured and a bust when he played making him the worst of the first-round running backs selected. As a No.6 overall pick, you can't put up 750 total yards and seven TDs. Or five TDs like Grant. Or four TDs like Lewis.

Player Team POS PTS ADP
DeAngelo William CAR RB 320 91.29
Michael Turner ATL RB 301 44.11
Adrian Peterson MIN RB 279 3.36
Matt Forte CHI RB 266 75.82
Thomas Jones NYJ RB 251 49.57
Steve Slaton HOU RB 248 142.52
L. Tomlinson SD RB 236 1.73
Brian Westbrook PHI RB 236 4.49
M. Jones-Drew JAC RB 236 21.17
Clinton Portis WAS RB 226 12.85
Chris Johnson TEN RB 223 101.92
Steven Jackson STL RB 204 6.58
Brandon Jacobs NYG RB 202 39.46
Marion Barber DAL RB 201 9.70
Marshawn Lynch BUF RB 194 13.80
Leon Washington NYJ RB 192 158.71
Frank Gore SF RB 191 11.24
Pierre Thomas NO RB 187 156.78
Ronnie Brown MIA RB 183 64.17
Kevin Smith DET RB 173 76.66
LenDale White TEN RB 171 72.22
Le'Ron McClain BAL RB 168 *
Reggie Bush NO RB 161 28.48
Jerious Norwood ATL RB 160 138.49
Ryan Grant GB RB 159 21.84
Derrick Ward NYG RB 155 182.77
Darren Sproles SD RB 155 183.52
Jonathan Stewart CAR RB 153 70.25
Kevin Faulk NE RB 140 203.55
Dominic Rhodes IND RB 139 175.19
Larry Johnson KC RB 132 17.82
Mewelde Moore PIT RB 132 *
Sammy Morris NE RB 128 181.71
Jamal Lewis CLE RB 126 30.54
Willis McGahee BAL RB 126 30.4
Warrick Dunn TB RB 121 169.82
Tim Hightower AZ RB 121 163.97
Joseph Addai IND RB 118 6.07
Willie Parker PIT RB 116 41.12
Ricky Williams MIA RB 115 94.48
Chester Taylor MIN RB 112 107.38
Earnest Graham TB RB 111 49.30
Fred Jackson BUF RB 111 189.33
Cedric Benson CIN RB 107 *
J.J. Arrington AZ. RB 96 *
Darren McFadden OAK RB 96 40.14
Peyton Hillis DEN RB 93 *
C. Buckhalter PHI RB 90 198.56
Justin Fargas OAK RB 88 120.09
Deuce McAllister NO RB 86 124.05
Michael Bush OAK RB 84 192.33
Julius Jones SEA RB 82 76.64
Maurice Morris SEA RB 78 142.77
Edgerrin James AZ RB 77 60.19
Tashard Choice DAL RB 75 *
Ray Rice BAL RB 73 123.59
Ahmad Bradshaw NYG RB 72 134.54
Felix Jones DAL RB 70 107.13
Patrick Cobbs MIA RB 69 *
Jamaal Charles KC RB 66 187.59
Michael Pittman DEN RB 61 219.55
Fred Taylor JAC RB 61 89.45
T.J. Duckett SEA RB 60 200.75
LaMont Jordan NE RB 59 189.54
B. Green-Ellis NE RB 59 *
Carnell Williams TB RB 50 182.60
Brandon Jackson GB RB 48 165.71
Ahman Green HOU RB 43 128.93
DeShaun Foster SF RB 42 188.28
Tatum Bell DEN RB 39 171.24
Ladell Betts WAS RB 38 164.55
Chris Perry CIN RB 37 112.65
Rudi Johnson DET RB 36 93.19
Antonio Pittman STL RB 36 219.55
Selvin Young DEN RB 35 67.12

* - were drafted in less than 5% of all leagues


Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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