Jacksonville Jaguars 2010 Fantasy Analysis

David Garrard still isn't "fantasy-worthy".
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - In the next edition of the series, we head back to the AFC South and check out the last place Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars were 7-9 last year, with an offense that scored just 18.1 ppg (24th among 32 teams) and a defense that yielded 23.8 ppg (24th).


David Garrard - Only once in Garrard's eight-year career has he been even as much as a borderline fantasy starter. That was in 2007 when he threw for 2,509 yards and 18 touchdowns against just three interceptions over 12 starts. However, we have likely seen the maximum he has to offer over the past two seasons when he threw for around 3,600 yards and 15 scores. That still isn't "fantasy-worthy" which explains why his ADP of 164 (23rd QB off the board) barely makes him a backup.

Running Back

Maurice Jones-Drew - Jones-Drew is the heart of the Jaguars offense. He will get 350+ touches again this season and his 50+ receptions make him an even bigger value in PPR leagues. "MJD" edges out Ray Rice as the third-ranked back in fantasy, behind Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson, because he gets more opportunities to score in the red zone.

Rashard Jennings - Coach Jack Del Rio says he wants to give Jennings more action, but its tough to sit "Jones-Drew" during a game. Jennings had just 39 carries in 2009 and likely will have to fight off rookie Deji Karim to keep those. He's being drafted in the final rounds as a "handcuff" for Jones-Drew, but you will have to watch summer camp and preseason to make sure he would be Jones-Drew's replacement.

Deji Karim - Karim isn't being drafted yet, but that could change. If something were to happen to Jones-Drew, Karim has a more similar skill set than Jennings. However, rookies have to learn a lot before coaches have the confidence to put them in a tight game. Watch preseason carefully to see if Karim has picked up the offense and if he has, then make him your "handcuff" with Jones-Drew.

Wide Receiver

Mike Sims-Walker - After missing the season opener (ankle), Sims-Walker exploded onto the fantasy scene in Week 2 (6-106-1) and continued to shine until Week 11 when knee and calf injuries slowed him again. He is clearly the team's best receiver, but the injury bug and too few targets (111) prevent him from being a No.1 fantasy wideout. He should be a strong second receiver and worth the fifth-round selection (ADP 53) it will take to get him.

Mike Thomas - Thomas might be the starter opposite Sims-Walker, but he'll have plenty of competition before it can be stated for sure. He did finish strong with 13 receptions over the final two weeks in 2009, but he's a possession receiver not a "big play" guy and at the moment has little fantasy value. Four other receivers on the Jaguars' roster will compete with Thomas for the No.2 wideout - Jarrett Dillard, Troy Williamson, Tiquan Underwood and Kassim Osgood.

Tight End

Marcedes Lewis - Lewis caught 32 balls for 518 yards and one score last year. Solid numbers for a Jaguars' tight end, but not very close to being a starting fantasy tight end in 2010. He is the 23rd tight end off the board with an ADP of 228.


Josh Scobee - Scobee finished well down in the standings last season and with an offense that remains almost identical to last year, I can't foresee him becoming a fantasy starter.


Jacksonville's defense finished dead last among the 32 teams with just 64 fantasy points. A paltry 14 sacks and no defensive or special teams touchdowns turned what was historically a solid fantasy defense into one to be avoided. The Jaguars spent their first four draft picks on the defensive side of the ball, so they should be improved, but they'll need a while to mature before they become "fantasy-worthy" again.

Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.
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