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NFL Preview - Green Bay (6-3) at Detroit (4-5)



By Michael Rushton, Contributing NFL Editor

(Sports Network) - The Green Bay Packers have notoriously been a tough team to beat coming off of their bye for nearly two decades. A meeting with the underachieving Detroit Lions may just be icing on the cake.

The Packers visit the Lions this Sunday looking to record a fifth straight victory and extend their winning streak over NFC North opponents to nine games in a row.

After a slow start to the season, the Packers have not lost since Oct. 7 at the Indianapolis Colts. They followed up that setback with road wins over the Houston Texans and St. Louis Rams before home victories against the Jacksonville Jaguars and Arizona Cardinals.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is tied for the NFL lead with 25 touchdown passes, connecting on four scoring strikes in Green Bay's 31-17 victory over the Cardinals on Nov. 4. He has been picked off just five times this season.

"I'm trying to be the best player I can be," noted Rodgers. "You've got to be self-motivated in this league to be successful. I've tried to learn from the people I've come in contact with and just continue to try to be a better player."

The extra rest usually does Green Bay some good as it has won 12 of its last 16 games after the week off. That includes a victory in each of the past three seasons, with the Packers outscoring their opponents 102-41. In that sample is a 26-0 victory over Detroit in 2009.

The bye came at a good time for Green Bay, which continues to play without safety Charles Woodson (collarbone), wide receiver Greg Jennings (abdominal) and running back Cedric Benson (foot), while linebacker Clay Matthews, wide receiver Jordy Nelson and right tackle Bryan Bulaga all suffered injuries against the Cardinals.

"You don't gain anything spending a whole lot of time talking about it," Packers head coach Mike McCarthy said of playing through the injuries. "Our team understands that. We've unfortunately had to deal with it in the past so we do have experience in these situations. You know, we're just trying to get our guys ready to do what we need to do to win this football game."

Nelson is likely to return this weekend from an ankle issue, but Matthews will miss some time due to a hamstring ailment while a hip injury landed Bulaga on injured reserve.

Still, Green Bay should be loaded with confidence heading into its first divisional matchup since a Week 2 win over the Chicago Bears extended their winning streak against divisional opponents to a club record-tying eight in a row.

The Packers haven't lost to a NFC North team since Dec. 12, 2010 at Detroit.

That defeat is the lone for Green Bay against the Lions in 12 meetings since McCarthy took over as head coach prior to the 2006 season. The Packers have won 20 of the last 23 encounters overall and have outscored the Lions 180-109 in six games at Detroit's Ford Field under McCarthy, winning five of those.

Green Bay logged a 27-15 win at Detroit in a Thanksgiving Day matchup last season, the 11th victory of their franchise-record 13-game win streak to start that campaign. Rodgers threw for 307 yards and two touchdowns, including a 65- yard scoring strike to receiver James Jones.

Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford was picked off three times in the loss, though he posted 520 passing yards and five touchdowns in a 45-41 defeat in Green Bay to conclude the regular season. He was, however, outdueled by then- Packers' backup quarterback Matt Flynn and his six TD passes.

The Lions are looking to turn things around after having a two-game win streak halted last Sunday with a 34-24 defeat at the Minnesota Vikings. Detroit fell a game under .500 and is now 0-3 against the division in 2012 despite getting a career-high 12 receptions for 207 yards with a touchdown catch by wideout Calvin Johnson.

At 4-5, the Lions are last in the NFC North and now face an uphill battle to make a second straight playoff appearance.

"I wouldn't call it either one of those - desperate or dire," Lions head coach Jim Schwartz said of the team's postseason hopes. "I think our word is urgent. We had six of our first nine on the road. We now have a stretch of three in a row at home. We have to do something with that. There's urgency to that. Our margins are a lot thinner. We don't have a whole lot of wiggle room for mistakes down the stretch. We have to play our best."

Detroit has another pair of tough home games on this residency coming up against the Texans on Thanksgiving followed by a visit from the Indianapolis Colts.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR

Injuries could certainly play a factor in this game and Matthews has already been ruled out.

Having had to overcome big losses of Jennings and Woodson, rookie linebacker Dezman Moses could be in line for a bigger role without Matthews, who leads Green Bay with nine sacks, one of 13 different players to record a sack this season for the Packers.

Green Bay has totaled 28 sacks through its first nine games, tied with the 2010 club for the most in that span since the '02 campaign.

Rodgers has been sacked a league-high 29 times this season, though he was taken down just once versus the Cardinals. He'll line up behind an offensive set this weekend that will see T.J. Lang slide over from left tackle to right to replace Bulaga. Evan Dietrich-Smith will get the call on the left side in place of Lang, who has the full confidence of Rodgers.

"T.J.'s been great for us. He's been a rock for us inside," said Rodgers. "Really happy for him and his progression and the way he conducts himself, the leadership that he exudes to the guys on our team, the way he encourages guys, gets on them. He's really become a leader on our offense, a guy you can really count on."

Nelson's injury may be the easiest one for the Packers to overcome and the depth featured with Jones, Randall Cobb, veteran Donald Driver and tight end Jermichael Finley will allow McCarthy to limit Nelson's role if he is less than 100 percent versus the Lions. The head coach did note this week that Nelson "looked like his normal self" in practice.

Detroit's defense is working through its own issues, especially in the secondary. Safety Amari Spievey is dealing with a concussion and Louis Delmas, the club's starter at free safety, has missed the past two games with a knee ailment.

Though cornerback Drayton Florence is nearing a return from a forearm injury, fellow defensive back Chris Houston suffered an ankle injury versus the Vikings, while defensive end Cliff Avril is questionable due to a head ailment.

Houston has been a solid defender for the Lions this season and has one of the team's five interceptions. Avril leads Detroit with 4 1/2 sacks.

Even with the injuries, Schwartz would like to see his team cut back on allowing big plays down the field.

"Unfortunately you don't get graded on the curve. You really can't say taking into account the injuries because injuries are what they are," he said.

Schwarz would also like to see his run defense improve after Vikings back Adrian Peterson torched the Lions for 171 yards last weekend, including a game-icing 61-yard TD run with 8:06 to play.

Injuries aren't just taking its their toll on the defense. Johnson turned in a superb effort despite lingering soreness that usually causes him to sit out practices on Wednesday. He has still managed to lead the NFL with 974 receiving yards, though he has scored just two touchdowns.

"He was better this week than he was last week," Schwartz said of Johnson. "There's not a player that's 100 percent right now. He was able to go out and effectively do his job. And not only do his job, but impact the game that way that he does. He's fighting through just like a lot of other guys are fighting through, but he's still able to be successful and he is getting better."

That's good news for Stafford, who with three touchdown passes versus the Vikings became just the third player in NFL history to reach the 70-touchown pass plateau in fewer than 40 career games. He has 71 scoring throws in 38 games, joining Hall of Famer Dan Marino and Kurt Warner.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The rest of the NFL couldn't wait to write-off the Packers after their 2-3 start.

Wishful thinking.

Rodgers has returned to MVP form and an improving defense has lowered its season average to 20.8 points per game, ninth-best in the NFL.

"Physically he's in great shape. He's on top of his game and more important, he's on top of everything that goes on with our offense," said McCarthy of his quarterback.

The Lions have the offense to compete in a shootout seeing as their 406.1 yards per game ranks second the league. But Detroit has struggled finishing off drives, coming in at the middle of the pack in scoring, and forcing turnovers.

Those factors against a rested Packers team will certainly leave Detroit singing the blues.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Packers 34, Lions 24

11/15 12:35:48 ET

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